Asian League · resolved market
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x097bf75095d770086ca5589489f35c92f4cc646b129dbde9b669c408e4745784
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 69c | 724.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.52 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 37c | 709.67$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 700.95$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.46 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 75c | 664.8$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 537.64$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.51 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 59c | 505.68$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.68 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 62c | 476.13$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.93 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 70c | 347.15$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 56c | 325.48$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.54 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 64c | 196.86$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 23c | 175$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 122.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 31c | 109.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 31c | 109.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 31c | 103.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 46c | 87.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 54c | 75.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 31c | 59.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 32c | 57.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 32c | 57.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 32c | 57.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 31c | 53.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 31c | 53.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Under | 31c | 53.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 31c | 53.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 31c | 53.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 31c | 53.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 30c | 51.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 71c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 214 | 74.3%159 W · 55 L | +44.8wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…5f50backed Under | 37c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Over | 69c | 36.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Over | 78c | 24.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 78c | 23.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1c…ddeebacked Over | 78c | 17.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)FC Tōkyō won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)FC Tōkyō won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Tōkyō: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 3.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.