Asian League · resolved market
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcbb15db0f0b24f22a2e9072077f4248a5b050e3282fc472f80153e7305c03db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 57c | 1,272$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 43c | 1,270$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.73 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 43c | 1,268$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.46 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 40c | 829.99$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 57c | 734.64$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.41 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 716.25$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.92 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 46c | 669.2$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.29 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 47c | 566.04$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 429$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.83 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 25c | 399.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.82 | 197 | 65.5%129 W · 68 L | +27.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 54c | 257.77$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.77 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 42c | 243.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.63 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 243.71$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.86 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 29c | 202.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.77 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Over | 27c | 199.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 73c | 194.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.33 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 58c | 172.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Over | 75c | 171.49$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 34c | 128.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 45c | 105.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 46c | 99.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 47c | 95.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 47c | 95.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 55c | 91.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Under | 53c | 87.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 38c | 86.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 44c | 78.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6866…b8f4backed Over | 48c | 63.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Under | 36c | 62.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 424 | 25.9%110 W · 314 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…13a8backed Over | 49c | 37.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 51c | 27.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a3…a39abacked Under | 55c | 26.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 45c | 26.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…bb43backed Under | 56c | 25.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc2…6c2fbacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f2…6078backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…2560backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fe…79edbacked Over | 47c | 23.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd117…559fbacked Over | 47c | 23.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x643d…79f0backed Over | 47c | 23.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 46c | 23.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…67d5backed Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf61d…714bbacked Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b8…1e96backed Over | 47c | 22.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…1ed4backed Under | 53c | 21.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…58d8backed Over | 47c | 21.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…8a5cbacked Over | 47c | 21.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ad…0f74backed Over | 47c | 21.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Over | 47c | 21.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…5557backed Over | 47c | 21.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8573…d115backed Over | 47c | 21.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd7…3cf4backed Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…3d03backed Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…a1f0backed Under | 53c | 20.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9d…7023backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…7533backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e1…d4ffbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd46…983abacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…e6dfbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…adf6backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)FC Tōkyō won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)FC Tōkyō won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Tōkyō: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 3.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.