Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartans: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09bfb2b3006b544d67218835f30ccce4e52e135561396aa0f46f37d3bfa83adb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 40c | 24,864$9,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,964.66 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 60c | 12,727$7,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090.74 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Under | 60c | 4,142$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.63 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under | 60c | 1,856$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.38 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 58c | 1,500$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 60c | 991.6$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.64 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 60c | 846.9$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.85 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 60c | 831.9$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.76 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 61c | 589.7$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.98 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 60c | 494.15$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.66 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…28f7backed Under | 60c | 335.49$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 60c | 289.55$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.82 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 60c | 39.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 60c | 31.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 60c | 21.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartans: O/U 153.5this page
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate SpartansUSC Upstate Spartans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.