CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Last Bullet vs FengDa Gaming (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09cb178b8fc1c3202e301bd7519323c67c675858f7fe3afa10ee4b1833cfe79c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FengDa Gamingof Last Bullet, FengDa Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed FengDa Gaming | 60c | 5,984$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.13 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Last Bullet | 31c | 1,784$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.59 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Last Bullet | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Last Bullet | 51c | 700$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Last Bullet | 49c | 613$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.37 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Last Bullet | 51c | 588.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Last Bullet | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…230ebacked FengDa Gaming | 50c | 470.16$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Last Bullet | 50c | 457.77$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.89 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Last Bullet | 51c | 314.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Last Bullet | 51c | 291.24$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.53 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Last Bullet | 51c | 280$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Last Bullet | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Last Bullet | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed FengDa Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Last Bullet | 46c | 194.29$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.37 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed FengDa Gaming | 48c | 187.27$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked Last Bullet | 58c | 172.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Last Bullet | 51c | 146.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd5…7236backed FengDa Gaming | 50c | 120.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Last Bullet | 51c | 90.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed FengDa Gaming | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Last Bullet | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked FengDa Gaming | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed FengDa Gaming | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…3344backed Last Bullet | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed FengDa Gaming | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked FengDa Gaming | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2b…7240backed Last Bullet | 50c | 29.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Last Bullet | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…34e7backed FengDa Gaming | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x163f…ab55backed Last Bullet | 57c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…6878backed Last Bullet | 79c | 13.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Last Bullet vs FengDa Gaming (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Last Bullet vs FengDa Gaming - Map 1 WinnerFengDa Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Last Bullet vs FengDa Gaming - Map 2 WinnerLast Bullet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.