Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Toledo Rockets vs. Ohio Bobcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a6dfe55af55ce5368004467b46505cee39097bd0af88ad5f377009bee2a95bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toledo Rocketsof Toledo Rockets, Ohio Bobcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9405…c071backed Toledo Rockets | 45c | 6,877$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,782.22 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Ohio Bobcats | 30c | 5,943$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.91 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Ohio Bobcats | 55c | 4,666$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.71 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toledo Rockets | 67c | 2,273$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.43 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Toledo Rockets | 57c | 2,201$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.64 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Toledo Rockets | 71c | 2,095$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.49 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Toledo Rockets | 78c | 1,951$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.86 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Ohio Bobcats | 25c | 1,910$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.89 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Ohio Bobcats | 57c | 1,683$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.45 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ohio Bobcats | 56c | 1,555$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.06 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ohio Bobcats | 22c | 1,225$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.19 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ohio Bobcats | 29c | 1,057$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.7 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ohio Bobcats | 34c | 883.15$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.44 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Toledo Rockets | 79c | 669.77$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Toledo Rockets | 80c | 621.35$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.19 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Toledo Rockets | 43c | 611.71$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.67 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toledo Rockets | 76c | 605.69$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.95 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Ohio Bobcats | 55c | 540.73$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.4 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Ohio Bobcats | 31c | 456.09$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.12 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Toledo Rockets | 44c | 436.55$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.97 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Toledo Rockets | 49c | 402.6$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.01 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Ohio Bobcats | 56c | 385.48$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.87 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ohio Bobcats | 13c | 288.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Ohio Bobcats | 54c | 183.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Ohio Bobcats | 12c | 162.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Ohio Bobcats | 57c | 123.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Toledo Rockets | 77c | 109.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Toledo Rockets | 45c | 99.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Ohio Bobcats | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Toledo Rockets | 68c | 91.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Toledo Rockets | 69c | 58.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Toledo Rockets | 69c | 55.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Ohio Bobcats | 54c | 49.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Toledo Rockets | 43c | 45.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Ohio Bobcats | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Toledo Rockets | 49c | 40.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Ohio Bobcats | 35c | 39.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…7f10backed Toledo Rockets | 76c | 39.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ohio Bobcats | 36c | 36.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Toledo Rockets | 46c | 21.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Toledo Rockets | 46c | 21.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa9…c178backed Toledo Rockets | 80c | 18.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 42 | 81%34 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toledo Rockets vs. Ohio Bobcatsthis page
- Spread: Ohio Bobcats (-1.5)Toledo Rockets won
- Toledo Rockets vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 158.5Under won
- Toledo Rockets vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 159.5Under won
- Toledo Rockets vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 160.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.