Tennis · resolved market
ITF Merzig: Sonja Zhenikhova vs Leonie Schuknecht
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a73599980268d01b2923fda85718dfb80b5100908024a8a9caef16f42ee7f52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leonie Schuknechtof Sonja Zhenikhova, Leonie Schuknecht
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sonja Zhenikhova | 61c | 719.33$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.14 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Leonie Schuknecht | 39c | 600$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.03 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Sonja Zhenikhova | 61c | 538.3$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.06 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Leonie Schuknecht | 35c | 439$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.58 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Leonie Schuknecht | 42c | 405.17$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.76 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Leonie Schuknecht | 40c | 198.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Sonja Zhenikhova | 67c | 145.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Leonie Schuknecht | 39c | 140$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Leonie Schuknecht | 40c | 121.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Sonja Zhenikhova | 55c | 89.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Sonja Zhenikhova | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Leonie Schuknecht | 45c | 75.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Leonie Schuknecht | 44c | 34.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Leonie Schuknecht | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Sonja Zhenikhova | 62c | 27.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…943ebacked Sonja Zhenikhova | 62c | 26.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sonja Zhenikhova | 48c | 22.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sonja Zhenikhova | 54c | 22.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Merzig: Sonja Zhenikhova vs Leonie Schuknechtthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Zhenikhova vs SchuknechtSchuknecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.