Tennis · resolved market
ITF Palma Del Rio: Polina Isakova vs Anna Kubareva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a75d99cde61c0851cc0dc8d0bdb0640711ff5c86119563154b8d29197a47041
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anna Kubarevaof Polina Isakova, Anna Kubareva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1c0…ecf1backed Polina Isakova | 13c | 7,719$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Polina Isakova | 14c | 5,333$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Polina Isakova | 16c | 5,063$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.45 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Polina Isakova | 5c | 2,858$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.75 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Polina Isakova | 19c | 1,963$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.56 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Polina Isakova | 14c | 1,362$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.98 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Polina Isakova | 18c | 975.63$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.38 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…f71bbacked Polina Isakova | 3c | 936.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Polina Isakova | 18c | 817.41$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.21 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Polina Isakova | 19c | 800$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Polina Isakova | 18c | 757.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.93 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Polina Isakova | 8c | 582$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Polina Isakova | 17c | 560.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Polina Isakova | 14c | 558.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Polina Isakova | 13c | 452.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Polina Isakova | 16c | 427$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Polina Isakova | 10c | 409.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…1d20backed Polina Isakova | 5c | 401.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…b1c5backed Polina Isakova | 4c | 295$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Polina Isakova | 11c | 260.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Polina Isakova | 19c | 237.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Anna Kubareva | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Polina Isakova | 9c | 183.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3477…5c42backed Polina Isakova | 8c | 154.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Anna Kubareva | 76c | 140.32$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Anna Kubareva | 79c | 68.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Anna Kubareva | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Anna Kubareva | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Anna Kubareva | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Anna Kubareva | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.