Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Navarro (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a96f4f422dee9ca1dbcfc965388e0492775542da9519d720ac25f909f152bcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navarroof Kostyuk, Navarro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Navarro | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Kostyuk | 32c | 1,355$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.73 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kostyuk | 33c | 537.31$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.31 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Navarro | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Kostyuk | 33c | 480.54$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.58 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Navarro | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Kostyuk | 71c | 399.99$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.99 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Navarro | 29c | 393.32$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.32 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Navarro | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Kostyuk | 32c | 124$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Navarro | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Navarro | 67c | 74.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Kostyuk | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Kostyuk | 34c | 46.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Kostyuk | 34c | 42.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Navarro | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Navarro | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Navarro (+1.5)this page
- Emma Navarro vs. Marta Kostyuk: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Navarro vs. Kostyuk: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Navarro vs KostyukKostyuk won
- Set 2 Winner: Navarro vs KostyukNavarro won
- Set Handicap: Navarro (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5)Kostyuk won
- Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Marta KostyukMarta Kostyuk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.