Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northwestern State Demons vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ab8e3dcd4be5d6356d5a66b988be9029c699f3c740c94823e8ddab2132c9eee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosof Northwestern State Demons, Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Northwestern State Demons | 25c | 2,024$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.76 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 78c | 1,147$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.39 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Northwestern State Demons | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.06 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Northwestern State Demons | 17c | 992.02$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.71 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Northwestern State Demons | 18c | 882.08$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.85 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northwestern State Demons | 9c | 866.31$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 76c | 643.77$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.74 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Northwestern State Demons | 17c | 616.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.24 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Northwestern State Demons | 11c | 613.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northwestern State Demons | 14c | 491.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Northwestern State Demons | 16c | 439.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northwestern State Demons | 8c | 377$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Northwestern State Demons | 12c | 358.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Northwestern State Demons | 16c | 344.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Northwestern State Demons | 18c | 300.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked Northwestern State Demons | 17c | 290.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Northwestern State Demons | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northwestern State Demons | 16c | 198.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Northwestern State Demons | 7c | 150.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Northwestern State Demons | 19c | 126.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Northwestern State Demons | 24c | 103.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Northwestern State Demons | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Northwestern State Demons | 17c | 89.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Northwestern State Demons | 17c | 87.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Northwestern State Demons | 17c | 82.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Northwestern State Demons | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 78c | 29.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 74c | 23.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…49d2backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 79c | 18.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08a…f65cbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 78c | 18.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northwestern State Demons vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosthis page
- Northwestern State Demons vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros: O/U 139.5Under won
- Spread: Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (-9.5)Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.