TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. McNeese State Cowboys

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
McNeese State Cowboysof Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros, McNeese State Cowboys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,629
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,087

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,629 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb44f…8c20backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros6c20,833$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.975238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros0c11,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros15c2,783$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.782,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros17c1,281$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.799045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros9c1,200$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.44025%10 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros12c1,075$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3917627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros17c989.49$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6292246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros15c965.85$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.041,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros16c824.83$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4281528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros12c719.42$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.773040%12 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab65…4a03backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros16c543.97$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.031233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros13c538.45$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7513936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros16c437.51$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros14c410.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5112141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros18c400$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros15c358.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.183,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b4…f93bbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros16c199.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros17c174.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1142339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.531537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros14c147.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.814,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros13c145.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.692114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02d…9b64backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c3…b054backed McNeese State Cowboys77c142.03$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0313565.9%89 W · 46 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros14c136.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.151,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f0c…1b9cbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros18c125.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff4…743dbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros13c113.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6914451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros15c110$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.514244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c39…74a8backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros17c103.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15b8…89e4backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233531.4%11 W · 24 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb747…3f1bbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros14c99.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.992832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros15c89.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.531,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros13c86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1893941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67f5…869fbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros29c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed McNeese State Cowboys68c17.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6535852%186 W · 172 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed McNeese State Cowboys73c15.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.191,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.