Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: McNeese State Cowboys (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x331b8e983324e08944ab5229de049ca6f92026609617c5e545d4bf5ac29dc56d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosof McNeese State Cowboys, Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed McNeese State Cowboys | 49c | 5,088$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.06 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 52c | 3,995$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.93 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…e786backed McNeese State Cowboys | 50c | 395.59$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 52c | 253.13$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 50c | 252.92$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked McNeese State Cowboys | 50c | 250.91$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 51c | 213.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.76 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 48c | 203$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 50c | 167.91$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 51c | 131.58$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 42c | 117.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 52c | 98.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 74c | 90.03$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 49c | 77.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 45c | 68.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 57c | 52.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 49c | 51.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed McNeese State Cowboys | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 41.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 52c | 39.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 49c | 37.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 48c | 26.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d8…7cbabacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 50c | 25.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed McNeese State Cowboys | 51c | 23.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked McNeese State Cowboys | 55c | 21.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 50c | 20.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: McNeese State Cowboys (-11.5)this page
- Spread: McNeese State Cowboys (-10.5)Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros won
- Spread: McNeese State Cowboys (-9.5)Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros won
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. McNeese State CowboysMcNeese State Cowboys won
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. McNeese State Cowboys: O/U 144.5Under won
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. McNeese State Cowboys: O/U 145.5Under won
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. McNeese State Cowboys: O/U 146.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.