Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b24a56a8f51081e0d8db4c5493169df160b7332d7a25465582bf34c45e77a47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf353…b287backed Over | 10c | 1,524$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.23 | 239 | 15.9%38 W · 201 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…ef2fbacked Over | 39c | 725.98$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Under | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…87c6backed Under | 59c | 219.86$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Under | 79c | 182.02$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 20c | 178.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed Under | 68c | 174.38$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…cbdbbacked Under | 67c | 165.05$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Over | 37c | 145$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed Under | 75c | 133.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 34c | 125.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 119.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Over | 31c | 114.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 32c | 114.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -8.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Under | 61c | 112.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 762 | 46.9%357 W · 405 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 51c | 104.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 634 | 7.1%45 W · 589 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Under | 56c | 98.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Under | 58c | 93.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 616 | 45.3%279 W · 337 L | +36.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Over | 49c | 86.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 34c | 56.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Under | 57c | 52.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked Over | 49c | 40.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 70c | 26.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Under | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)JD Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.