Lol · resolved market
LoL: FN Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b2b3c5f8d31214a52bb58f5eb79c2921e6bcad43eab3d3d9751569de93fc9f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FN Esportsof FN Esports, Team Phantasma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,153 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Team Phantasma | 8c | 2,331$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Team Phantasma | 63c | 1,509$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.77 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Phantasma | 54c | 1,442$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.3 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed FN Esports | 44c | 1,050$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Phantasma | 49c | 914$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.36 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed FN Esports | 37c | 910$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.7 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Phantasma | 60c | 909.71$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.87 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed FN Esports | 52c | 578.04$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.71 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked FN Esports | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Phantasma | 44c | 439.42$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.62 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Phantasma | 54c | 427$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.58 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed FN Esports | 55c | 313.65$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.14 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Phantasma | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed FN Esports | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Phantasma | 72c | 255.97$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.68 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Team Phantasma | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Team Phantasma | 47c | 214$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Team Phantasma | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Phantasma | 65c | 191.39$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.84 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Phantasma | 54c | 169$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Phantasma | 30c | 154.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d83…a627backed FN Esports | 30c | 105.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Phantasma | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…5cefbacked FN Esports | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked FN Esports | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FN Esports | 51c | 89.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Team Phantasma | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed FN Esports | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 282 | 46.5%131 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FN Esports | 49c | 68.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed FN Esports | 63c | 31.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed FN Esports | 52c | 30.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Team Phantasma | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FN Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FN (-1.5) vs Team Phantasma (+1.5)Team Phantasma won
- LoL: FN Esports vs Team Phantasma (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group HTeam Phantasma won
- LoL: FN Esports vs Team Phantasma - Game 2 WinnerTeam Phantasma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.