Tennis · resolved market
ITF Amstetten: Julie Pastikova vs Franziska Sziedat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b3062e777ef1ef4308c80016fcb7ca1dfc6a32aceaf54b8f30a41631af2d9a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Julie Pastikovaof Julie Pastikova, Franziska Sziedat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Franziska Sziedat | 24c | 4,485$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.91 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Julie Pastikova | 78c | 3,907$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.72 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Franziska Sziedat | 25c | 3,389$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Julie Pastikova | 72c | 3,380$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.69 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Julie Pastikova | 71c | 1,121$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.13 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…430ebacked Franziska Sziedat | 18c | 1,100$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Franziska Sziedat | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Franziska Sziedat | 20c | 888.18$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.6 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Franziska Sziedat | 41c | 690.59$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.1 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Franziska Sziedat | 38c | 598.78$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.56 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Julie Pastikova | 74c | 328$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Franziska Sziedat | 16c | 296.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Franziska Sziedat | 28c | 114.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Julie Pastikova | 63c | 106.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Julie Pastikova | 64c | 90.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…05eabacked Julie Pastikova | 71c | 84.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Franziska Sziedat | 40c | 69.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Franziska Sziedat | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 225 | 40.4%91 W · 134 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Franziska Sziedat | 29c | 53.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Franziska Sziedat | 24c | 47.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Franziska Sziedat | 35c | 46.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Franziska Sziedat | 26c | 46.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Julie Pastikova | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Julie Pastikova | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Julie Pastikova | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Julie Pastikova | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Julie Pastikova | 70c | 28.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Julie Pastikova | 67c | 24.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Julie Pastikova | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Julie Pastikova | 77c | 13.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.