CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Guara Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b70a4224b7b9c69d581a58232dee08d42003ff7fea6412c4ae0d65e3e5e2e3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- METANOIA WOLVESof METANOIA WOLVES, Guara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 65c | 933.49$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.96 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Guara Esports | 31c | 451.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked METANOIA WOLVES | 61c | 401.69$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guara Esports | 39c | 373.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Guara Esports | 27c | 256.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed METANOIA WOLVES | 65c | 224.58$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 59c | 169.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Guara Esports | 37c | 148.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Guara Esports | 38c | 141.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Guara Esports | 32c | 135$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 68c | 135$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked METANOIA WOLVES | 66c | 125$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Guara Esports | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Guara Esports | 39c | 110.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Guara Esports | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Guara Esports | 33c | 100.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…e948backed Guara Esports | 36c | 70.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Guara Esports | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Guara Esports | 34c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 68c | 38.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 65c | 37.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 62c | 31.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 277 | 46.2%128 W · 149 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Guara Esports | 40c | 30.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 71c | 20.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Guara Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StageGuara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Guara Esports - Map 2 WinnerGuara Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.