CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Guara Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e3d24da5c588a1b32ac18d9b7e638a9cb5976f472e9cdbdfb487bd10d23762b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guara Esportsof METANOIA WOLVES, Guara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed METANOIA WOLVES | 65c | 1,077$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.67 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe91e…9ea8backed Guara Esports | 44c | 974$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.87 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Guara Esports | 30c | 837.1$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.3 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Guara Esports | 24c | 711.42$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.42 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 12c | 669.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Guara Esports | 38c | 626$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.72 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Guara Esports | 56c | 542.9$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.05 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 540.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 17c | 470.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 26c | 430.58$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked METANOIA WOLVES | 63c | 374.93$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.98 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guara Esports | 57c | 324.11$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.37 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Guara Esports | 23c | 314.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.23 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Guara Esports | 48c | 298.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.75 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed METANOIA WOLVES | 76c | 295.57$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.93 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 33c | 257.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 13c | 210$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 57c | 203.49$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Guara Esports | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked METANOIA WOLVES | 13c | 192.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed METANOIA WOLVES | 44c | 192$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed METANOIA WOLVES | 64c | 178.66$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 66c | 177.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 61c | 175$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.95 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked METANOIA WOLVES | 68c | 174.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.79 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Guara Esports | 27c | 174.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.91 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed METANOIA WOLVES | 15c | 165.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Guara Esports | 59c | 163.67$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Guara Esports | 13c | 163$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked Guara Esports | 14c | 153.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Guara Esports | 38c | 135$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Guara Esports | 18c | 121$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 64c | 109$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Guara Esports | 38c | 96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked METANOIA WOLVES | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 74c | 85.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 49c | 77.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 63c | 76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Guara Esports | 42c | 73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 49c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 63c | 62.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 62c | 58.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Guara Esports | 24c | 56.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Guara Esports | 41c | 52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Guara Esports | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Guara Esports | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Guara Esports | 53c | 37.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 76c | 34.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 63c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…9d5cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 49c | 30.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x761d…f16dbacked Guara Esports | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7f…cc9bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 75c | 24.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Guara Esports | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed METANOIA WOLVES | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Guara Esports | 68c | 15.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Guara Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StageGuara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Guara Esports - Map 1 WinnerMETANOIA WOLVES won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.