TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Fagiano Okayama vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,349
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,349 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over40c3,885$1,565 inLost-$1,564.622,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c2,709$1,812 inWon+$897.315,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under50c600$300 inWon+$3002347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under36c555.55$200 inWon+$355.553619.4%7 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over40c519.93$207 inLost-$206.8182842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over22c410.66$91 inLost-$919824.5%24 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under69c289.86$200 inWon+$89.863158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under79c248.08$196 inWon+$52.1666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under58c203.29$117 inWon+$86.021,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over63c191.38$121 inLost-$120.571,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Under37c138$51 inWon+$86.94966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under35c120.69$42 inWon+$78.4516929%49 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Over50c100$50 inLost-$503959%23 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over17c94.67$16 inLost-$15.9342625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Over37c83$31 inLost-$30.711080%8 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+71.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over23c69.99$16 inLost-$16.113743.8%60 W · 77 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under63c56.68$36 inWon+$20.7837153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under66c54$36 inWon+$18.1218161.9%112 W · 69 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under64c50.44$32 inWon+$18.2225155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b8…4a59backed Under54c40.74$22 inWon+$18.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under69c35.09$24 inWon+$10.9531960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under63c27.35$17 inWon+$10.121,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5af6…842ebacked Over59c20$12 inLost-$11.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.