CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c649cb7cf034728e0036c6f2bdb54f90d815da646e65764bf4ec2dbacdb15dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FORZE Reloadof ex-Zero Tenacity, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FORZE Reload | 75c | 2,200$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.45 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 30c | 1,400$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.15 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked FORZE Reload | 69c | 1,178$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.32 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed FORZE Reload | 66c | 906.81$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.96 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 25c | 851.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.84 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 27c | 748.61$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.71 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 27c | 669$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.63 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 524$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FORZE Reload | 61c | 462$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.18 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 37c | 436.48$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.93 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 33c | 429$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.68 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 42c | 356$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.13 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 271$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 33c | 254.55$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 44c | 229.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed FORZE Reload | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed FORZE Reload | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 28c | 53.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group StageFORZE Reload won
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 WinnerFORZE Reload won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.