Lol · resolved market
LoL: Maze Gaming vs Malvinas Gaming - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c86d91791d40efcabb3fe15ee0219df7f61bb5d3b3f665468d63e97a705c6ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Malvinas Gamingof Maze Gaming, Malvinas Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Malvinas Gaming | 55c | 2,750$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.38 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41aa…fcf9backed Maze Gaming | 44c | 687.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Malvinas Gaming | 60c | 533.99$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.4 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Maze Gaming | 47c | 495.57$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.18 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Malvinas Gaming | 41c | 484.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.92 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Malvinas Gaming | 50c | 452.86$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.91 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Maze Gaming | 56c | 432.86$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 468 | 46.8%219 W · 249 L | -23.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Malvinas Gaming | 71c | 419$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.51 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…c91bbacked Maze Gaming | 59c | 336.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc84c…3316backed Maze Gaming | 63c | 304.68$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…04f7backed Maze Gaming | 57c | 254.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Maze Gaming | 41c | 202.44$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Maze Gaming | 37c | 202.24$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Malvinas Gaming | 61c | 192.22$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Maze Gaming | 50c | 149.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Maze Gaming | 34c | 119.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Malvinas Gaming | 65c | 113.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Maze Gaming | 26c | 109$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Maze Gaming | 50c | 97.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Maze Gaming | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 296 | 37.8%112 W · 184 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Maze Gaming | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Maze Gaming | 19c | 89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Maze Gaming | 31c | 67.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Malvinas Gaming | 74c | 61.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked Maze Gaming | 50c | 59.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Maze Gaming | 58c | 55.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba8…cd40backed Maze Gaming | 47c | 53.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Maze Gaming | 39c | 51.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 529 | 45.9%243 W · 286 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Malvinas Gaming | 67c | 51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Maze Gaming | 29c | 48.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked Maze Gaming | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Malvinas Gaming | 73c | 42.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 364 | 60.2%219 W · 145 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Maze Gaming | 37c | 33.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Malvinas Gaming | 61c | 32.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…d4fcbacked Maze Gaming | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Malvinas Gaming | 64c | 29.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 228 | 63.2%144 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Malvinas Gaming | 37c | 27.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Malvinas Gaming | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Maze Gaming | 58c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Malvinas Gaming | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 220 | 43.6%96 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…b223backed Maze Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe224…4907backed Maze Gaming | 57c | 19.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Malvinas Gaming | 71c | 14.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Maze Gaming vs Malvinas Gaming - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MAZ (-1.5) vs Malvinas Gaming (+1.5)Malvinas Gaming won
- LoL: Maze Gaming vs Malvinas Gaming (BO5) - LRS PlayoffsMaze Gaming won
- LoL: Maze Gaming vs Malvinas Gaming - Game 1 WinnerMalvinas Gaming won
- LoL: Maze Gaming vs Malvinas Gaming - Game 2 WinnerMaze Gaming won
- LoL: Maze Gaming vs Malvinas Gaming - Game 3 WinnerMaze Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.