Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c92c475983fabf0e51fc8bcf020324d7ed9eb9c408279c6cc3eaf679bcf575d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Morgan State Bearsof Norfolk State Spartans, Morgan State Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Norfolk State Spartans | 53c | 7,853$4,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,162.12 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Morgan State Bears | 47c | 4,463$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.22 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Morgan State Bears | 47c | 1,284$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.37 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Morgan State Bears | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Morgan State Bears | 47c | 1,009$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.86 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Morgan State Bears | 47c | 667.13$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.58 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Morgan State Bears | 47c | 312.18$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.67 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Norfolk State Spartans | 56c | 177.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Morgan State Bears | 47c | 147.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Morgan State Bears | 47c | 119.49$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Norfolk State Spartans | 53c | 100.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Morgan State Bears | 45c | 79.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Morgan State Bears | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Morgan State Bears | 47c | 58.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Morgan State Bears | 45c | 56.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Norfolk State Spartans | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…2d0fbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 57c | 53.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Morgan State Bears | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Norfolk State Spartans | 55c | 39.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Morgan State Bears | 43c | 37.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Morgan State Bears | 44c | 33.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Norfolk State Spartans | 53c | 31.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Morgan State Bears | 47c | 28.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Morgan State Bears | 47c | 23.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-2.5)this page
- Norfolk State Spartans vs. Morgan State BearsMorgan State Bears won
- Norfolk State Spartans vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 154.5Over won
- Norfolk State Spartans vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 156.5Over won
- Norfolk State Spartans vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 157.5Over won
- Norfolk State Spartans vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 158.5Over won
- Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-3.5)Morgan State Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.