Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Norfolk State Spartans vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 154.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70e8e6c1d915380dddcff2f9601006548bb522febe85e535dd78aab889cb5342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 66c | 7,261$4,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.25 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 42c | 4,136$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.95 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 61c | 3,875$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.65 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 34c | 2,140$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.44 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 48c | 1,684$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.37 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 34c | 1,429$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.49 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 1,303$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.05 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 35c | 564.78$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.04 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 44c | 499.61$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.83 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Over | 56c | 495.7$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.11 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 33c | 475.92$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.15 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 48c | 445$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.4 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 51c | 388.21$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.96 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 195.91$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Under | 33c | 189.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 55c | 180.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Over | 48c | 168.26$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c4…fe40backed Under | 46c | 160.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 32c | 152.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 50c | 149.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 50c | 147.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.94 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 49c | 145.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Under | 52c | 143.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…f6e4backed Over | 56c | 134.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 32c | 132.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 47c | 99.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 65c | 97.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 49c | 96.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 43c | 91.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 40c | 84.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 50c | 81.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 73.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…7bfebacked Under | 42c | 73.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 51c | 68.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 62c | 53.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Under | 36c | 51.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 54c | 47.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 47c | 37.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 42c | 35.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 65c | 35.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 59c | 34.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Under | 36c | 33.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 52c | 27.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 53c | 21.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Over | 69c | 16.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norfolk State Spartans vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 154.5this page
- Norfolk State Spartans vs. Morgan State BearsMorgan State Bears won
- Norfolk State Spartans vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 156.5Over won
- Norfolk State Spartans vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 157.5Over won
- Norfolk State Spartans vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 158.5Over won
- Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-2.5)Morgan State Bears won
- Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-3.5)Morgan State Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.