Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cb603863bc442d8123bddd5d8a8a9375d74768458e2ee714713dae90d8ca5aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mercyhurst Lakersof Mercyhurst Lakers, St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 26c | 6,580$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.36 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 43c | 5,000$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.5 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 57c | 3,198$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.4 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 57c | 2,979$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.94 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 57c | 2,666$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.43 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 7c | 1,292$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.34 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 56c | 1,241$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.04 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 75c | 904.27$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.06 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 43c | 846.14$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.84 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 6c | 773.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 43c | 549.5$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.29 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 39c | 385$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 34c | 378.62$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.77 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 61c | 355$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 67c | 349.44$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.34 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 79c | 280.02$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 56c | 209.21$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 43c | 199.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 67c | 165$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 42c | 156.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 43c | 149.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 24c | 146.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 34c | 130.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 61c | 110.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 49c | 75.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 39c | 52.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 33c | 48.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 41c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 59c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 80c | 29.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…dc40backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 43c | 28.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 38c | 26.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 69c | 24.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 62c | 19.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flashthis page
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flash: O/U 136.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.