CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ccee7eb08d35930dbc6b31be1696129fae40fbdc4ba13c3710e72ac7bff6299
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 2,307$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.96 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Phantom | 19c | 1,402$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.23 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Phantom | 31c | 1,381$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.33 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Phantom | 39c | 797.49$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.6 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Phantom | 29c | 587.16$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.05 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Phantom | 20c | 470$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed Phantom | 43c | 345.91$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUBY | 53c | 312.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 307$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Phantom | 19c | 275.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 172.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked ex-RUBY | 75c | 125$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Phantom | 17c | 105.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY | 74c | 92.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…210ebacked ex-RUBY | 73c | 86.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed ex-RUBY | 74c | 70.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Phantom | 39c | 69.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 58.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…095dbacked Phantom | 42c | 53.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…b081backed Phantom | 40c | 41.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Phantom | 42c | 41.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 37c | 37.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…12c5backed ex-RUBY | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 15.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed ex-RUBY | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.