CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41346907baff2e8b5166233a90dbe8f23be9ab5820af8e3725deec6f532e8366
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Phantom | 16c | 4,803$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.71 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked ex-RUBY | 79c | 3,475$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.23 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phantom | 19c | 2,020$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.6 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Phantom | 15c | 1,832$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.8 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Phantom | 4c | 1,461$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Phantom | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY | 80c | 692.8$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.56 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 67c | 598.09$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.47 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom | 36c | 565.31$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.95 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Phantom | 18c | 500$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +235%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…10fdbacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed ex-RUBY | 68c | 461.37$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.64 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Phantom | 23c | 451.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Phantom | 17c | 358.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbff…e8e7backed Phantom | 15c | 311.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +117%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Phantom | 15c | 262$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Phantom | 20c | 229$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Phantom | 23c | 227.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phantom | 18c | 224.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Phantom | 18c | 223.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Phantom | 20c | 220$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phantom | 20c | 208.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Phantom | 13c | 207.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 16c | 195.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f8…394dbacked Phantom | 6c | 185.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…fae0backed ex-RUBY | 80c | 183$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed ex-RUBY | 68c | 146.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 144.28$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed ex-RUBY | 80c | 125.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…4ec3backed ex-RUBY | 76c | 124.39$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Phantom | 18c | 116.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Phantom | 14c | 116$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…55bfbacked Phantom | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Phantom | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed ex-RUBY | 75c | 93.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Phantom | 14c | 85.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Phantom | 22c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Phantom | 31c | 50.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Phantom | 20c | 49.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Phantom | 31c | 40.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…5782backed ex-RUBY | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…f078backed ex-RUBY | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.