Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hillcrest: Lan Mi vs Isabella Kruger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d060c804d9daa995ae77050d565072874d65b8fbc596b557f413906343b057d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isabella Krugerof Lan Mi, Isabella Kruger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Isabella Kruger | 80c | 2,158$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.96 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Isabella Kruger | 62c | 1,747$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.74 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Isabella Kruger | 64c | 1,172$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.74 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lan Mi | 37c | 1,125$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Lan Mi | 32c | 812.82$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.19 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lan Mi | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Lan Mi | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Lan Mi | 20c | 483$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Lan Mi | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Lan Mi | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Lan Mi | 28c | 178.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Lan Mi | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Lan Mi | 39c | 159.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Isabella Kruger | 78c | 143.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Lan Mi | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Lan Mi | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Isabella Kruger | 62c | 131$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Lan Mi | 21c | 128.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lan Mi | 12c | 100.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Lan Mi | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Isabella Kruger | 62c | 98.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Lan Mi | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Lan Mi | 19c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Lan Mi | 38c | 63.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Lan Mi | 21c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -17.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lan Mi | 27c | 51.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Lan Mi | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Isabella Kruger | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Isabella Kruger | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 580 | 45.5%264 W · 316 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Isabella Kruger | 75c | 22.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Isabella Kruger | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Isabella Kruger | 63c | 19.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Isabella Kruger | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Isabella Kruger | 77c | 15.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Isabella Kruger | 75c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Hillcrest: Lan Mi vs Isabella Krugerthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Mi vs KrugerKruger won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.