Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Cirstea vs Noskova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d388149bdc002492646deb42d061ff9d4733fb14e7ffdc7c88a5d6023d69f6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noskovaof Cirstea, Noskova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Noskova | 53c | 2,014$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.28 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…8e4fbacked Cirstea | 51c | 1,257$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.2 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Cirstea | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Noskova | 56c | 872.38$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.84 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…73a5backed Cirstea | 50c | 623.58$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.79 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Noskova | 52c | 512.39$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.22 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…8c66backed Cirstea | 48c | 375.13$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.06 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Cirstea | 28c | 209.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Cirstea | 50c | 155.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 165 | 88.5%146 W · 19 L | +37.7wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xba9a…6fbebacked Noskova | 69c | 145.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Noskova | 61c | 120.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Noskova | 60c | 119.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Cirstea vs Noskovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Cirstea vs NoskovaCirstea won
- Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)Cirstea won
- Sorana Cirstea vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Wimbledon WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda NoskovaLinda Noskova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.