Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Galatasaray beat Ajax?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d4d462dabd2a3786591ace6b50cbf5c2beab090350a3d7231e52babfc4f1c85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 66c | 1,590$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.67 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 65c | 700$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.97 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 15c | 599.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 71c | 462.24$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.87 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 38c | 401.1$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.42 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 36c | 331.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 33c | 299.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed No | 66c | 282.91$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 63c | 255$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 11c | 203.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c63abacked Yes | 35c | 201.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…bf03backed Yes | 17c | 148.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 35c | 91.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…f87dbacked No | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed Yes | 21c | 69.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…3630backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Galatasaray beat Ajax?this page
- Will Ajax beat Galatasaray?Yes won
- Will the match between Ajax and Galatasaray end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.