CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Galorys - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d7ecda97b07eb782a0bb0f8296f20f85f7ab78ecebc62c4446b901636e57ab5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marsborneof Marsborne, Galorys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,369 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Galorys | 0c | 5,868$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Galorys | 38c | 1,425$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.83 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Galorys | 19c | 521.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Marsborne | 59c | 500$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Marsborne | 77c | 439.61$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.21 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Galorys | 39c | 361.14$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.18 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Marsborne | 42c | 355.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.19 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Galorys | 47c | 301.54$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.75 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Galorys | 71c | 301.03$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.48 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…da5cbacked Galorys | 52c | 245.89$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.38 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Marsborne | 67c | 238.59$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Marsborne | 60c | 180$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Galorys | 67c | 138.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Galorys | 43c | 134.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Marsborne | 54c | 93.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Galorys | 49c | 83.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Marsborne | 53c | 67.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Galorys | 47c | 67.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…577abacked Marsborne | 69c | 50.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Galorys | 44c | 50.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Marsborne | 59c | 44.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked Marsborne | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Marsborne | 27c | 40.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Galorys | 50c | 40.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Galorys | 33c | 38.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Marsborne | 35c | 33.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Marsborne | 49c | 32.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Marsborne | 39c | 32.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Marsborne | 40c | 28.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…d660backed Marsborne | 80c | 23.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Galorys - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group DMarsborne won
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Galorys - Map 1 WinnerMarsborne won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.