CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa756079648d2450835f50c0ea8ec17d07d0bcb3ac4847caa7213029e8c037c4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marsborneof Marsborne, Galorys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Galorys | 54c | 937.35$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Galorys | 40c | 813.23$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.03 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Marsborne | 63c | 803.19$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.36 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Marsborne | 62c | 718.24$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.24 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…c913backed Galorys | 43c | 439.53$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Galorys | 38c | 435$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Marsborne | 62c | 397.5$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.42 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Galorys | 48c | 379.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Marsborne | 56c | 333.93$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Galorys | 50c | 327.95$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.82 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Galorys | 44c | 318.46$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Marsborne | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…da5cbacked Marsborne | 70c | 229.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Galorys | 39c | 188.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed Marsborne | 14c | 177.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.89 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Marsborne | 52c | 155$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Marsborne | 48c | 117.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked Marsborne | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…ec20backed Marsborne | 51c | 96.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Marsborne | 53c | 86.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Galorys | 21c | 85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Marsborne | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Galorys | 16c | 65.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Marsborne | 54c | 64.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked Galorys | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Marsborne | 68c | 52.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Marsborne | 37c | 48.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd3…1e9bbacked Marsborne | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0d…9115backed Marsborne | 56c | 39.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Marsborne | 53c | 37.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Marsborne | 52c | 36.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Marsborne | 70c | 35.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Marsborne | 65c | 31.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Galorys | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marsborne | 75c | 19.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fa…bec1backed Marsborne | 76c | 17.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Galorys - Map 1 WinnerMarsborne won
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Galorys - Map 2 WinnerMarsborne won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.