Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0db45a195c139331e8c8290b6e86b63e1f5e228a6211225a7f3315a75071c935
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 42c | 28,078$11,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,698.28 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 12,970$7,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.43 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 9,488$6,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.2 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 8,841$5,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.07 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.99 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 57c | 2,275$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.25 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.98 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 44c | 1,206$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.79 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 7c | 907.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 58c | 800$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 59c | 695.89$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.67 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 58c | 623$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.66 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 58c | 593$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.05 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 58c | 491.67$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 58c | 461$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.7 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 381.64$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.24 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 11c | 327.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 42c | 172.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 58c | 109.32$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 92.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cf52backed No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 42c | 73.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 57c | 71.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 56c | 61.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 58c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 58c | 30.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed No | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 58c | 22.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 72c | 16.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Kilmarnock FC vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.