La Liga · resolved market
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0db4e21948aa57ed261f2424eaf3b77d4bc8b33c3bfa39800619233c6d799f28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 1,831$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.08 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 79c | 975.73$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.66 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 493.1$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.24 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 40c | 482$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 458.88$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 33c | 255.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 17c | 196.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 17c | 166.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 61c | 159.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 35c | 134.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…82c8backed Yes | 15c | 124.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Yes | 41c | 101.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 59c | 94.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 76c | 86.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 23c | 81.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 73c | 67.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 63.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 41c | 62.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435a…21a5backed Yes | 19c | 59.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 27c | 57.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Yes | 22c | 54.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 39c | 50.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 29c | 48.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked No | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 65c | 37.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 35.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed No | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.