Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dedbcf41631d7a8ef73b4ecd378836cbf69a7fa0c372b8ae3c2b7460068b998
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulsa Golden Hurricaneof Tulsa Golden Hurricane, UNLV Runnin' Rebels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,990 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 57c | 2,724$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.63 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 79c | 2,292$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.78 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 21c | 1,803$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.56 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 22c | 1,703$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.75 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 26c | 1,317$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.63 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 42c | 925.36$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.67 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 23c | 717.9$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.29 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 55c | 672.31$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.54 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 58c | 458.11$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.72 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 24c | 247.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 38c | 209.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 77c | 197$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 42c | 151.58$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 44c | 135.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 79c | 120.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 21c | 118.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 58c | 117.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 26c | 107.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 17c | 94.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 58c | 94.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 58c | 85.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 27c | 67.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 58c | 50.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 57c | 34.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 58c | 34.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 58c | 29.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 79c | 28.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…b909backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 57c | 26.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 57c | 22.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 58c | 18.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 77c | 14.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-4.5)Tulsa Golden Hurricane won
- Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-5.5)Tulsa Golden Hurricane won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tulsa Golden HurricaneTulsa Golden Hurricane won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 161.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.