Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Pareja vs Wang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e750a153807c776b319fbfcd5ec096fee9b20c2cd123a069aa16e0ac363aeaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wangof Pareja, Wang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc398…f446backed Wang | 46c | 1,446$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.27 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pareja | 53c | 760.56$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.92 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pareja | 47c | 695$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.3 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Wang | 58c | 493.39$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.7 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…6aa5backed Wang | 38c | 277.08$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pareja | 43c | 265.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.27 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Pareja | 46c | 252.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.74 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Pareja | 57c | 248.52$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.36 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…e6fcbacked Wang | 57c | 244.42$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6710…3374backed Wang | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…8d44backed Pareja | 45c | 135.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Pareja | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Pareja | 43c | 93.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Pareja | 58c | 87.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Wang | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Wang | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Pareja vs Wangthis page
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu WangXinyu Wang won
- Set 2 Winner: Pareja vs WangWang won
- Set Handicap: Wang (-1.5) vs Pareja (+1.5)Wang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.