Tennis · resolved market
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Aziz Dougaz vs Mirza Basic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e8a9a9ee419f48069ba82351cdf5ecbb09ae230d35d0de44b44e8182a730068
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aziz Dougazof Aziz Dougaz, Mirza Basic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2978…b511backed Mirza Basic | 4c | 13,293$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Mirza Basic | 4c | 2,900$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.37 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Mirza Basic | 5c | 2,382$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…8172backed Mirza Basic | 6c | 915.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Mirza Basic | 4c | 870.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mirza Basic | 4c | 705.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mirza Basic | 4c | 493.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Mirza Basic | 5c | 473.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…55f8backed Mirza Basic | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6e…1914backed Mirza Basic | 5c | 240.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Mirza Basic | 9c | 181$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Mirza Basic | 21c | 132.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Mirza Basic | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Mirza Basic | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aziz Dougaz | 78c | 80.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Mirza Basic | 19c | 70.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Aziz Dougaz | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb0…408cbacked Aziz Dougaz | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Aziz Dougaz | 80c | 19.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Aziz Dougaz | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Aziz Dougaz | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Aziz Dougaz vs Mirza Basicthis page
- Set Handicap: Dougaz (-1.5) vs Basic (+1.5)Dougaz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.