Euroleague · resolved market
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Fujian Sturgeons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0eab7a42588f8f27c58488493724e0226ee774031b0aa7663d1f64fb3e943188
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fujian Sturgeonsof Guangzhou Loong Lions, Fujian Sturgeons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fujian Sturgeons | 70c | 3,518$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.82 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4dd7backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 32c | 2,492$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 69c | 1,159$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Fujian Sturgeons | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Fujian Sturgeons | 32c | 999.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 29c | 757.33$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.04 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 62c | 496.33$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.43 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 67c | 495.59$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 18c | 228.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 71c | 206.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Fujian Sturgeons | 65c | 176.73$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Fujian Sturgeons | 30c | 124$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fujian Sturgeons | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Fujian Sturgeons | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 67c | 98.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 71c | 91.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc297…b0d2backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 28c | 88.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 68c | 72.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Fujian Sturgeons | 69c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…0696backed Fujian Sturgeons | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 37c | 59.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 28c | 53.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 38c | 53.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…0350backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 29c | 49.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 25c | 47.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Fujian Sturgeons | 78c | 41.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 70c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…c46abacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 73c | 21.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.