MLB · resolved market
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ebd7b2241b44c8dd0eb4767533008d1b02ca47719af937c55980dc953fb383f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof Hanwha Eagles, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 55c | 906.95$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed NC Dinos | 45c | 777.09$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.4 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Hanwha Eagles | 22c | 613.89$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.02 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 71c | 420.57$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2569…5d2dbacked NC Dinos | 52c | 386.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.31 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed NC Dinos | 49c | 323.37$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.37 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hanwha Eagles | 48c | 291.68$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked NC Dinos | 45c | 280.72$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed NC Dinos | 46c | 249.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…6358backed Hanwha Eagles | 54c | 239.41$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hanwha Eagles | 53c | 231.86$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed NC Dinos | 49c | 199.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…044dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 53c | 181.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NC Dinos | 60c | 121.41$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Hanwha Eagles | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed NC Dinos | 80c | 105.53$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Hanwha Eagles | 52c | 104.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed NC Dinos | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Hanwha Eagles | 52c | 96.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Hanwha Eagles | 52c | 91.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Hanwha Eagles | 33c | 78.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NC Dinos | 48c | 63.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 59.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed NC Dinos | 79c | 58.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed NC Dinos | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 53c | 48.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked NC Dinos | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked Hanwha Eagles | 51c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Hanwha Eagles | 54c | 40.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Hanwha Eagles | 48c | 39.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed NC Dinos | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…d779backed NC Dinos | 50c | 28.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Hanwha Eagles | 38c | 27.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed NC Dinos | 58c | 26.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed NC Dinos | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed Hanwha Eagles | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Hanwha Eagles | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe74…3916backed Hanwha Eagles | 54c | 21.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Hanwha Eagles | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Hanwha Eagles | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 51c | 19.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.