CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ed740b2e23bbf0c8ad5f04aabb5404495a5d6c45db95a108634e7326a912a85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof UNO MILLE, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 64c | 1,390$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.68 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Keyd | 50c | 934.03$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.86 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked UNO MILLE | 43c | 897.87$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.67 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked UNO MILLE | 36c | 886$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.96 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17c…b2e6backed Keyd | 68c | 696.24$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.95 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed UNO MILLE | 39c | 618.47$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.23 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227f…405dbacked Keyd | 60c | 488$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…0fd9backed UNO MILLE | 39c | 481.7$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.86 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f90backed UNO MILLE | 49c | 285.68$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UNO MILLE | 63c | 244.45$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed UNO MILLE | 34c | 181.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed UNO MILLE | 49c | 178.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked UNO MILLE | 40c | 175.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked UNO MILLE | 65c | 145.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Keyd | 42c | 114.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Keyd | 44c | 109.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked UNO MILLE | 44c | 102.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed UNO MILLE | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed UNO MILLE | 35c | 98.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed Keyd | 61c | 96.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 122 | 73.8%90 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed UNO MILLE | 53c | 90.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed UNO MILLE | 62c | 79.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 265 | 64.2%170 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed UNO MILLE | 34c | 56.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed UNO MILLE | 39c | 54.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Keyd | 57c | 49.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Keyd | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…5853backed UNO MILLE | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…55f5backed UNO MILLE | 37c | 44.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed UNO MILLE | 40c | 41.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Keyd | 50c | 40.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed UNO MILLE | 52c | 34.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…3f62backed UNO MILLE | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Keyd | 68c | 26.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Keyd | 58c | 21.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm PlayoffsKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.