Tennis · resolved market
Warsaw: Alana Smith vs Yue Yuan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0eebc03e51caea48f4a14a2954ee34626ce134f06c00514a111dbdfd131f04d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yue Yuanof Alana Smith, Yue Yuan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Alana Smith | 11c | 10,530$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Alana Smith | 6c | 9,973$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.71 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Alana Smith | 8c | 6,512$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.17 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…b8b0backed Alana Smith | 7c | 3,772$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.99 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Alana Smith | 7c | 3,017$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.74 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Alana Smith | 7c | 2,962$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…987ebacked Alana Smith | 14c | 2,580$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.74 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alana Smith | 5c | 1,851$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb6…8b20backed Alana Smith | 6c | 1,418$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…568cbacked Alana Smith | 4c | 1,397$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Alana Smith | 18c | 1,213$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.89 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…2b5dbacked Alana Smith | 18c | 1,173$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.87 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Alana Smith | 17c | 898.89$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alana Smith | 8c | 548.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Alana Smith | 7c | 508.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Alana Smith | 16c | 478$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Alana Smith | 17c | 468.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Alana Smith | 8c | 435.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Alana Smith | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Alana Smith | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 36.5%74 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed Alana Smith | 8c | 212.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2de1…e01bbacked Alana Smith | 7c | 193.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Alana Smith | 7c | 189.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Alana Smith | 7c | 177.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83bd…3f07backed Alana Smith | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa87…489ebacked Alana Smith | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Alana Smith | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Alana Smith | 14c | 80.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.