Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bistrita: Radu David Turcanu vs Stefan Horia Haita
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f404755ef720ab3896a63305e358ccca66f4e86f40860b2f78d534e43a0020d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefan Horia Haitaof Radu David Turcanu, Stefan Horia Haita
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Radu David Turcanu | 52c | 469.15$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.85 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Stefan Horia Haita | 48c | 306$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.04 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Stefan Horia Haita | 74c | 232.73$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Stefan Horia Haita | 38c | 196.64$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.97 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Radu David Turcanu | 17c | 176.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Radu David Turcanu | 45c | 136.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Radu David Turcanu | 37c | 135.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -11.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Stefan Horia Haita | 40c | 133.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stefan Horia Haita | 47c | 132.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Radu David Turcanu | 60c | 130.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Radu David Turcanu | 62c | 128.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Radu David Turcanu | 65c | 77.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Radu David Turcanu | 55c | 75.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Stefan Horia Haita | 45c | 75.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Stefan Horia Haita | 54c | 70.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Radu David Turcanu | 63c | 63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Radu David Turcanu | 54c | 58.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Stefan Horia Haita | 68c | 46.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 68c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Stefan Horia Haita | 73c | 41.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Stefan Horia Haita | 40c | 37.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Stefan Horia Haita | 45c | 36.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Radu David Turcanu | 52c | 32.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…6359backed Radu David Turcanu | 68c | 26.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 45c | 25.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Stefan Horia Haita | 49c | 20.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Radu David Turcanu | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Radu David Turcanu | 64c | 18.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.