Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f59640af2c0f2c49f0df37e08733f967c0bbdd9d9aa94dde228e8d5f83dc543
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 40c | 11,610$4,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,675.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 60c | 7,315$4,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.14 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 60c | 6,256$3,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.5 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 40c | 3,700$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 40c | 676.45$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 60c | 635.82$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.33 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 59c | 624.25$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.94 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 60c | 390$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Over | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Over | 60c | 50.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Over | 60c | 27.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.