Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3efba328d617ea3393b1ad492e1b79ffdb558e86851c286f97d73a9159b21119
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 52c | 12,760$6,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,614.28 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.99 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 51c | 4,435$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.44 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 49c | 4,090$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 51c | 2,900$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 1,314$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.14 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 48c | 999.97$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Under | 41c | 384$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.44 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 49c | 380.4$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.23 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 49c | 365$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 49c | 365$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 51c | 359.98$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.19 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 59c | 266.17$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.13 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 51c | 180.82$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 49c | 142.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 47c | 106$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 112 | 17.9%20 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Under | 51c | 76.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 49c | 69.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…4414backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…3c33backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Over | 49c | 38.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 49c | 36.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…1cc0backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 50c | 29.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Over | 48c | 24.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…478bbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.