Euroleague · resolved market
Saski Baskonia vs. Valencia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f670872c94480c89601020465eead4f1e50ebce688ec285a5b1adb58e17bbdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valenciaof Saski Baskonia, Valencia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbfb…6178backed Valencia | 58c | 1,384$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saski Baskonia | 24c | 1,234$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.77 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saski Baskonia | 43c | 1,117$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.3 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Saski Baskonia | 42c | 848$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Valencia | 60c | 837.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.35 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Valencia | 58c | 816.65$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.07 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Saski Baskonia | 39c | 563.06$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.12 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Valencia | 58c | 501.04$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.04 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…9467backed Valencia | 74c | 493.05$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.12 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Saski Baskonia | 27c | 483.91$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Valencia | 58c | 465.86$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.66 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Saski Baskonia | 42c | 241.3$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Saski Baskonia | 43c | 231.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Saski Baskonia | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 11cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Saski Baskonia | 13c | 193.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Saski Baskonia | 42c | 177.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Saski Baskonia | 42c | 176.93$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Valencia | 56c | 152.56$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Saski Baskonia | 41c | 119.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Saski Baskonia | 44c | 113$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Saski Baskonia | 42c | 112.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Valencia | 73c | 112$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Valencia | 72c | 108.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.3wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…2c06backed Saski Baskonia | 42c | 98.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Valencia | 58c | 92.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Saski Baskonia | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked Valencia | 59c | 76.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Saski Baskonia | 37c | 74.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…1754backed Valencia | 75c | 73.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Saski Baskonia | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Valencia | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Valencia | 66c | 62.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Valencia | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Valencia | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Valencia | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Saski Baskonia | 27c | 50.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Valencia | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Valencia | 76c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Valencia | 59c | 43.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Valencia | 59c | 34.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Saski Baskonia | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Valencia | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Valencia | 76c | 17.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.