Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Nuno Borges vs Alex de Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f756bce0b86a5c6bde044ea1a274a037761366d15fb244149bd72f4cd3f23c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minaurof Borges, Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Borges | 14c | 9,915$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.94 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Borges | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Borges | 16c | 4,721$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.81 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Borges | 17c | 2,958$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.08 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Borges | 3c | 2,800$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Borges | 13c | 2,348$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.22 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Borges | 14c | 1,335$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Borges | 2c | 841$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Borges | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Borges | 19c | 633$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Borges | 16c | 599.64$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Borges | 12c | 466.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…0e5bbacked Borges | 5c | 315$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Borges | 18c | 232.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Borges | 14c | 214.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7df…27cdbacked Borges | 15c | 206.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Borges | 13c | 182.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Borges | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Borges | 14c | 149.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…a920backed Borges | 14c | 146.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Borges | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Borges | 13c | 89.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Borges | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Borges | 18c | 73.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…05f5backed Borges | 15c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Minaur | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.