Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f77fd4b5e88547756ad7f3e2634548ac81c512ee56bc2ca08fe87a72c9f8556
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 486.19$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 421.48$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 387.67$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 370.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 74c | 307.69$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 276.91$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…31fbbacked No | 75c | 265$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 25c | 198.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +181.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 75c | 190$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 74c | 181.97$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 26c | 135.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 23c | 131$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5476…782abacked Yes | 24c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Yes | 27c | 57.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8a…f7abbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…4e03backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Orgryte IS vs. Halmstads BK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.