Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71dea24229152b3534e9dbb4a7fe662aa528469c7c99ddb6baa6b9100a9df911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb809…2004backed Yes | 50c | 14,338$7,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,227.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 51c | 5,924$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.32 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 3,232$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.45 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 1,798$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 52c | 1,280$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.36 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed No | 51c | 725.49$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.49 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 50c | 527.8$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.9 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 18c | 509.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked No | 50c | 345.34$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 49c | 147.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Yes | 51c | 146.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Yes | 50c | 90.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 58c | 86.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 86.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 52c | 67.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed No | 52c | 66.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 31c | 54.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 22c | 50.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 50c | 50.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Yes | 51c | 44.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +11.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 35.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 35.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 48c | 35.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 77c | 32.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 49c | 29.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…7116backed No | 49c | 29.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 54c | 28.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…a568backed No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 71c | 28.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 51c | 26.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked No | 70c | 16.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Orgryte IS vs. Halmstads BK end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.