Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f9965123d958b62f58bff811a56e8d645ce254888ee7a2ce82f744334d4652c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 56c | 52,152$29,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,956.51 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 20,360$8,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,958.4 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 55c | 16,580$9,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,393.69 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 45c | 11,827$5,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,329.41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 44c | 11,267$4,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,957.3 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 10,412$4,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,797.6 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 9,843$4,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,403.24 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 44c | 6,969$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.32 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 44c | 6,669$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.45 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 44c | 5,951$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.44 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 55c | 5,144$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.4 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 45c | 3,122$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.98 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 55c | 1,998$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.92 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 56c | 1,983$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.49 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 56c | 1,926$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.53 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 28c | 1,775$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 56c | 1,089$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.86 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Under | 57c | 1,050$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.46 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 56c | 1,043$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.3 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 42c | 904.76$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Under | 69c | 725$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.75 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 43c | 651$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.93 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 56c | 601$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.44 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 600$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…591fbacked Under | 57c | 583.37$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Under | 38c | 525.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.63 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 58c | 503.35$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.58 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 61c | 493.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 59c | 477.97$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.97 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 43c | 467.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…02d8backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 441.72$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.07 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 58c | 421$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.18 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Over | 46c | 414.86$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Under | 67c | 408.3$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.76 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 73c | 383.56$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Over | 55c | 366.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 44c | 309.5$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.18 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 60c | 291.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Under | 43c | 274.44$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 44c | 235.36$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…5b73backed Under | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 34c | 176.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 48c | 174$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked Under | 58c | 172.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 44c | 147$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 43c | 139.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 44c | 135$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 37c | 123$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 44c | 118.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…6c91backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 44c | 112$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 44c | 109.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 44c | 90.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…a312backed Over | 46c | 83.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -55%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Over | 44c | 66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 65.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 63c | 65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 45c | 62.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…b2ebbacked Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…2c38backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5this page
- 1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.