NHL · resolved market
AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. Colorado Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ffd7e893af48f6b401853912b884bbb4747a6b68b629830d8800fc20d69b609
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Eaglesof Coachella Valley Firebirds, Colorado Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x008d…b839backed Colorado Eagles | 68c | 2,116$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.8 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 23c | 1,001$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.56 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 30c | 892.11$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.02 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Colorado Eagles | 64c | 773.44$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.72 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 46c | 712.51$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colorado Eagles | 50c | 357.03$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 44c | 355.6$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.79 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…9357backed Colorado Eagles | 80c | 301.1$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 37c | 281.56$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.81 | 227 | 28.2%64 W · 163 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 35c | 265.05$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Colorado Eagles | 64c | 174.37$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…03fcbacked Colorado Eagles | 64c | 155$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Colorado Eagles | 51c | 128.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 11c | 119.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked Colorado Eagles | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.7wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Colorado Eagles | 58c | 96.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 16c | 62.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…8c3ebacked Colorado Eagles | 66c | 55.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Colorado Eagles | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Colorado Eagles | 67c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 34c | 44.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Colorado Eagles | 67c | 40.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 52c | 35.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9124…7a4dbacked Colorado Eagles | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 36c | 28.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Colorado Eagles | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 23.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Colorado Eagles | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.