Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Georgia State Panthers vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10164fd33efaad3ef03343d86c50e903f592ec44403ef6db6a767cdc257ac9e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia State Panthersof Georgia State Panthers, Appalachian State Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 28c | 3,591$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Georgia State Panthers | 74c | 3,283$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.05 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 19c | 2,281$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.19 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Georgia State Panthers | 64c | 2,131$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia State Panthers | 18c | 1,972$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Georgia State Panthers | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.04 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 39c | 777.12$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.45 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 24c | 615.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.33 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Georgia State Panthers | 71c | 516$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.76 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 34c | 513.25$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Georgia State Panthers | 76c | 264.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 6c | 257.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Georgia State Panthers | 15c | 247.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.64 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Georgia State Panthers | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 38c | 175.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 80c | 131$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Georgia State Panthers | 23c | 129.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Georgia State Panthers | 69c | 123.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 80c | 113$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 77c | 110$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Georgia State Panthers | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 33c | 81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Georgia State Panthers | 64c | 72.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Georgia State Panthers | 23c | 56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Georgia State Panthers | 73c | 54.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Georgia State Panthers | 40c | 46.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…6326backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 60c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Georgia State Panthers | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 61c | 29.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 77c | 16.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia State Panthers vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersthis page
- Georgia State Panthers vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 135.5Under won
- Georgia State Panthers vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Appalachian State Mountaineers (-10.5)Georgia State Panthers won
- Spread: Appalachian State Mountaineers (-9.5)Georgia State Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.