TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Diana-Ioana Simionescu vs Carolina Kuhl

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Diana-Ioana Simionescuof Diana-Ioana Simionescu, Carolina Kuhl
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,195
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,195 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2978…b511backed Diana-Ioana Simionescu53c11,812$6,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,562.441131.9%131 W · 280 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Carolina Kuhl46c8,860$4,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,082.0211,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Carolina Kuhl61c3,953$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.968,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Diana-Ioana Simionescu55c1,728$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.663447.9%304 W · 330 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Diana-Ioana Simionescu43c976.9$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.691,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carolina Kuhl51c944.49$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.458,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed Diana-Ioana Simionescu59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.465250%26 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd058…f4d3backed Diana-Ioana Simionescu50c417.78$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.88955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Carolina Kuhl35c351.61$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.273738.8%286 W · 451 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Carolina Kuhl47c236.17$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.383,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Diana-Ioana Simionescu59c198$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.312,11156.1%1,184 W · 927 L+42.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Carolina Kuhl56c185$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7322150.7%112 W · 109 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Carolina Kuhl48c179.9$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.61,62454.4%883 W · 741 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Carolina Kuhl36c174.44$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.16,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Carolina Kuhl42c164.9$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.041,25238.8%486 W · 766 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Carolina Kuhl37c146.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.488754%47 W · 40 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b36ebacked Carolina Kuhl49c128.81$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8350746.5%236 W · 271 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Carolina Kuhl41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,57546.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L+15.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Carolina Kuhl57c98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8667745.6%309 W · 368 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca1…fc25backed Carolina Kuhl62c93.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.799052.2%47 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Diana-Ioana Simionescu48c87.81$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.663,63154.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L+110.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Carolina Kuhl35c74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.937959.1%224 W · 155 L+26.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Carolina Kuhl26c73.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Diana-Ioana Simionescu42c51.59$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7479249.1%389 W · 403 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Carolina Kuhl42c50.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8759941.1%246 W · 353 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Diana-Ioana Simionescu54c48.22$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1112061.7%74 W · 46 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Carolina Kuhl78c48.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5880558.6%472 W · 333 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Carolina Kuhl70c47$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0642546.4%197 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed Diana-Ioana Simionescu78c47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5630563.9%195 W · 110 L+34.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Diana-Ioana Simionescu52c43.03$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.517,74550.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L+93.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Carolina Kuhl73c42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6685741.7%357 W · 500 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Carolina Kuhl70c41.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3631654.4%172 W · 144 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Carolina Kuhl29c40.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.811,95843.7%856 W · 1,102 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf3…2286backed Carolina Kuhl48c39.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.08922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-49.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed Carolina Kuhl76c39.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302045%9 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc98…e28abacked Carolina Kuhl72c39.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162e…fe52backed Carolina Kuhl79c38.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e1…98dbbacked Diana-Ioana Simionescu75c37.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.337852.6%41 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Diana-Ioana Simionescu31c36.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1537645.7%172 W · 204 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…60e4backed Carolina Kuhl46c35.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.633850%19 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Carolina Kuhl35c30.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7643558.9%256 W · 179 L+23.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Carolina Kuhl61c22.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3439260.5%237 W · 155 L-1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a3…3f10backed Carolina Kuhl59c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.534351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Carolina Kuhl73c16.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.125150.2%126 W · 125 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.