Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-04-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x109d167c519764b03b734ce02fdd09e7fe2ed26cacf8379859e8363c28930256
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 45c | 1,021$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.89 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 73c | 565$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.45 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 55c | 294.52$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.7 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 43c | 270.68$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 75c | 266.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 27c | 265$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.45 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 31c | 254.84$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.84 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 134.23$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 121.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 118$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 108.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 37c | 103.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 101.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 87.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 31c | 87.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…e6c2backed No | 70c | 84.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 43c | 80.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bf…81c2backed No | 39c | 74.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Yes | 29c | 59.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…d1b0backed No | 70c | 48.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 23c | 44.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 39.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 35c | 32.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 63c | 28.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 46c | 26.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…2b69backed No | 72c | 25.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 64c | 25.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…b072backed No | 53c | 25.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 69c | 22.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 70c | 22.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 71c | 17.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…a021backed No | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 15.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d52…f4dfbacked No | 70c | 14.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-04-07?this page
- Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Sandefjord Fotball end in a draw?No won
- Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-04-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.